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jmdict 1236650 Active (id: 2177644)
恐らく [ichi1,news1,nf15]
おそらく [ichi1,news1,nf15]
1. [adv] [uk]
《oft. used when predicting a negative outcome》
▶ probably
▶ (most) likely
▶ in all likelihood
▶ I suspect
▶ I dare say
▶ I'm afraid



History:
7. A 2022-02-04 20:39:33  Robin Scott <...address hidden...>
  Comments:
Looks OK to me.
I don't think we need to mention 多分.
6. A* 2022-02-04 02:19:34  Marcus Richert <...address hidden...>
  Refs:
shinmeikai
そうならないかもしれないという、幾分かの疑念・心配・ためらいの気持を抱きながらも、あることの実現を推測することを表わす。

daijs (usage note on the 多分 entry)
◇「おそらく」は、その原義から、悪いほうの可能性が高いと推量する気持ちが残り、「おそらく後悔するだろう」のような用法が中心となる。◇「多分」の方がややぞんざいで、「おそらく」の方があらたまった丁寧な言い方になる。「多分彼は来ないだろう」「おそらく彼は来ないでしょう」
  Comments:
I think we should mention thought that it often (if not always) does have a negative nuance. 
we could mention it's more polite than 多分 also (per daijs)
  Diff:
@@ -18,0 +19 @@
+<s_inf>oft. used when predicting a negative outcome</s_inf>
5. A* 2022-02-04 00:09:13  Robin Scott <...address hidden...>
  Refs:
gg5: おそらくこれでいいんだろう. This is probably as it should be. | I expect this is all right [OK].
     おそらくこの絵は彼のコレクションの中でも最高のものだろう. This is arguably the finest picture in his collection.
chujiten: おそらく明日は帰ってくるでしょう.  He'll probably [most likely] be back tomorrow.
ルミナス: 恐らく午後は晴れるでしょう It may possibly clear up in the afternoon.
      彼女は恐らく本校では一番歌がうまい She is presumably the best singer in our school.
  Comments:
It doesn't necessarily have a negative nuance. I think this is fine.
  Diff:
@@ -19 +18,0 @@
-<gloss>unfortunately it seems probable that ...</gloss>
@@ -21 +20,3 @@
-<gloss>likely</gloss>
+<gloss>(most) likely</gloss>
+<gloss>in all likelihood</gloss>
+<gloss>I suspect</gloss>
@@ -22,0 +24 @@
+<gloss>I'm afraid</gloss>
4. A 2022-02-03 21:54:03  Jim Breen <...address hidden...>
3. A* 2022-02-03 11:27:01  Marcus Richert <...address hidden...>
  Refs:
daijr
将来の悪い成り行きを予測していうことが多い。
  Comments:
could be a usage note. could be glossed differently, but I think we need to get the negative nuance in there.
  Diff:
@@ -19 +19,2 @@
-<gloss>perhaps</gloss>
+<gloss>unfortunately it seems probable that ...</gloss>
+<gloss>probably</gloss>
@@ -21 +21,0 @@
-<gloss>probably</gloss>
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